Gen. Kelly May Shift Trump Scenarios
by the TechCast Team
TechCast has been studying Policies in the Trump Era, and the appointment of Gen. Kelly to US Chief of Staff holds out the possibility that President Trump could change and save his presidency.
Preliminary Results published in February showed that our experts estimate collectively a 50-percent probability for a scenario in which Trump Rules, 27 percent for Trump Changes, and 39 percent for Trump Falls. The Trump Falls scenario appeared to be edging above 50 percent recently, but that could change if the general succeeds in taming the Donald. Even a moderate level of discipline could make the Trump Changes scenario the most likely.
TechCast thinks the next few weeks pose a critical test of President Truimp's ability to modify his behavior. Trump may not be likely to "rule," but he can surivive and muddle through. If he fails to change, look for a continued slide into the Trump Falls scenario.
TechCast is planning to repeat this survey periodically to meet the great interest in anticipating policies and impact of the Trump Era. This also will permit tracking the data to forecast any change in trends under the Trump administration.
Members can access the preliminary results here.
© 2013-2017 TechCast Global Inc Printed By: Aug 19, 2017 For personal use only