PowerPoint presentation of our study on Trump Era Policies and Scenarios
Trump Study Preliminary Results Print
By the TechCast Team
This preliminary report provides probabilities and impacts of 13 policy choices that President Trump has promoted. Results show which proposals are likely to be introduced successfully versus those policies that are not likely to be implemented for various reasons. Indicators of progress (GDP growth, Trump's appoval ratings, increase in the national debt, and stock market gains) suggest that the economy is likely to disappoint with medicocre performance. Finally, three scenarios are forecast, with a roughly 50-percent probability that Trump will rule successfully in an authoritarian style, a 29-percent probability that he will pivot to a more reasonable centrist position, and a 39-percent probability that he will be forced out of office through impeachment or resignation.
A final version of the study now in progress will include expert comments to flesh out these data, produce definitive conclusions on what is likely to happen, and offer strategic recommendations for making it through the Trump minefield.
Click here for the presentation.
© 2013-2017 TechCast Global Inc Printed By: May 23, 2017 For personal use only